Image: U.S. Army (Photo by Spc. Jensen Guillory)

15:26     18 April 2021    

The Middle East, and the Persian Gulf region in particular, has always been an object of interest for the world's leading countries.

The Middle East, and the Persian Gulf region in particular, has always been an object of interest for the world's leading countries. What is happening in the region today certainly has a huge impact on the world as a whole. Moreover, it may play a critical circumstance for the world. What are we talking about? - Iran, of course. And Israel. And Turkey. Syria. And, of course, UAE and Saudi Arabia. And the USA, Russia. Who, not being countries of the region, definitely are there - as visibly and invisibly. By weapons. By money. And the absolutely incredible tangle that is entangled in the region today requires action. If not to untangle it, then at least to understand what is happening, and where it all moves on. The irreconcilable confrontation and rejection of each other - between Israel on the one hand, and the Islamic states on the other, has been an everyday fact in the region for many decades. At the same time, Palestine and Iran were and are at the head of the struggle with Israel. Palestine because of territories comes first. Iran – just because of!!! Well, the Arab countries of the region, of course, have always been on the side of Palestine, as well as on Egypt and Jordan, which have lost territories and many other things. And - what do we have today? Today, Israel became the best friend and partner of the Arab Emirates. There is no animosity and any rhetoric, but diplomatic relations, direct air communication, economic ties... The same happens with Bahrain, Oman. And with Sudan that is the largest Muslim country in Africa... And yet, the irreconcilable enmity between Israel and Iran has not disappeared. It is, in fact, already a war. Iran is systematically trying to get nuclear weapons. Israel is systematically destroying these efforts. It is eliminating the Iranian nuclear key persons. And it destroys Iran's nuclear facilities. And at the same time it does not hide its intentions and steps. And Iran is no longer hiding its intentions either. Not only the historical desire to "throw the Israelis into the sea, and eliminate the "so-called State of Israel”. But also a firm intention to develop and to get nuclear weapons. And what is the main goal of Iran to have it? It is only in order to destroy Israel. And it should be not bad also for Iran to destroy America, but America is a long way away.... So - Israel. What would happen to Iran itself once this dreams comes true? It may be surprising, but there is a feeling that the current leaders of Iran are the last to worry about this question. This is despite the fact that Iran's economy, despite active cooperation with China, Russia, India, Oman, is very weak. Sanctions have done and continue to do their job. The most interesting thing is that all of Iran's allies are well aware that once Iran has achieved the lifting of sanctions under certain conditions and commitments, it will immediately violate those his commitments. In the area of the nuclear program. And in the area of “support” for Yemeni fighters, radical groups in Syria, Lebanon, Egypt, Iraq... But these “friends” continues to help Iran. Some of them because of to get cheap oil. That, of course, are China and India. And others - just to make their voice sound louder and more impressive in the region. To be feared and respected. And even if they don't respect it, they want to be feared. And that, of course, is Russia. And then there is Turkey. Which, it would seem, is not so close to the Gulf region, but... It's increasingly penetrating into the region. And not only by opposing Iran in Syria and Lebanon. But actively opposing to Russia - as strange as it may sound. And today we can quite confidently say that Russia will have more and more problems with holding its position in the region. And it will be supplanted by its traditional allies, Turkey and Israel. How all this will end is impossible to say today. Let us hope is not war. The war of all against all. The author is a military-political analyst, an expert in the field of strategic security, an expert on the Middle East and Africa.

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